Carmelo Research

Demand-Side Market Intelligence · Est. 2026 · Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Search & AI Surfaces cover art

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Search & AI Surfaces

Quarterly intelligence on the market for search-intent traffic across two layers: the classic search auction (Google, Microsoft, Amazon) and the emerging AI answer layer (AI Overviews and AI Mode, ChatGPT, Copilot, Perplexity) — pricing, inventory maturity, the traffic shift away from open-web clicks, and the practical economics for operators who buy or monetize intent traffic.

  • CadenceQuarterly
  • FormatDigital report (PDF), delivered by download after purchase
  • LicenseCompany-internal — perpetual, non-exclusive, internal use only (details)
  • List priceUSD 4,950 per edition

What each edition contains

Built entirely on public data and aggregated market observations. Every buyer receives the identical edition; no customized cuts are sold.

Editions

Q3 2026 — Vol. 1, No. 1 Available USD 4,950
Q4 2026 — Vol. 1, No. 2 Forthcoming · expected October 2026 USD 4,950 Get notified

Q3 2026 edition (Vol. 1, No. 1) — published July 2026

The inaugural edition maps the split between the classic search auction and the AI answer layer: the Surface Shift Index; Google Search cost across four lenses; AI Overviews coverage and the citation premium; Microsoft, Bing and Copilot; ChatGPT ads via Criteo; the zero-click traffic shift; Cloudflare crawl-to-refer economics; the monetization of AI-sourced traffic; vertical spotlights; and the outlook into 2027. 53 pages, 37 exhibits.

Order this edition — USD 4,950

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How to order: send the pre-filled order e-mail (button above) → we confirm availability and send an invoice with international wire instructions (USD) → delivery within 1 business day of payment by secure download link. Details in How to order.

The Q4 2026 edition covers the following quarter and is scheduled for publication in October 2026. Forthcoming editions cannot be pre-ordered; write to be notified on publication.

Methodology in brief

Every figure is compiled from public sources — company disclosures, disclosed-methodology benchmark panels, and first-party analytics reports — graded in place as reported or estimate, with divergent figures shown side by side, and passes a standardized editorial review before publication. Full details on the Methodology page.